Conversion

In Hattrick, each chance has basically three outcomes: (A) a goal was shot, (B) a chance is mentioned in the game report, or (C) the chance was wasted so miserably that it not worth mentioning at all. While the number of (A) and (B) events is known, the number for (C) is not. There is a lot of discussion in the community on the size of (C) depending on possession and attack/defense ratings or even additional factors. A simple assumption is that (A) + (B) + (C) depends linearily on the possession. This assumption is used here. Some people go even further and state that the sum is 10 for both teams together. This theory is not used.

The following table contains three numbers for each combination of attack and defense rating.

• the goal rate: goals divided by goals plus mentioned chances, that is (A) / (A) + (B)
• expected goals in a 50%-possession game in center, 50 * (A_C) / possession
• expected goals in a 50%-possession game on a wing, 50 * (A_W) / possession

For frequencies of center and wing attacks, see actions.

The numbers are based on matches where no team played pressing, since chances missed due to pressing cannot be assigned to one of the teams.

In Hattristics, ratings are entered as follows: a number representing the level immediately followed by a letter for the sublevel (a = min, b = low, c = high, d = max) E.g. Solid (low) is represented as 7b For more info on Hattristics ratings, go here

	Min	Max
Attack
Defense

Conversion		D e f e n s e   R a t i n g
		3a	3b	3c	3d	4a	4b	4c	4d	5a	5b	5c	5d
A t t a c k R a t i n g	3a	63% 0.98 0.64	59% 0.73 0.56	57% 0.72 0.48	50% 0.49 0.40	46% 0.38 0.38	41% 0.35 0.30	42% 0.29 0.28	39% 0.25 0.24	38% 0.27 0.21	34% 0.23 0.18	36% 0.16 0.18	35% 0.15 0.16
	3b	69% 1.28 0.71	64% 0.69 0.60	59% 0.72 0.54	54% 0.64 0.45	49% 0.53 0.39	47% 0.45 0.37	42% 0.32 0.31	40% 0.38 0.28	40% 0.27 0.25	37% 0.24 0.22	37% 0.21 0.21	32% 0.21 0.14
	3c	72% 1.28 0.76	68% 1.02 0.65	63% 0.95 0.61	60% 0.74 0.54	56% 0.65 0.48	51% 0.52 0.41	48% 0.50 0.37	42% 0.36 0.33	40% 0.34 0.29	39% 0.33 0.28	37% 0.30 0.25	35% 0.26 0.20
	3d	75% 1.32 0.79	73% 1.21 0.75	70% 1.13 0.71	66% 0.92 0.62	63% 0.75 0.57	56% 0.67 0.50	52% 0.62 0.43	47% 0.53 0.38	44% 0.46 0.34	40% 0.38 0.31	37% 0.36 0.26	36% 0.29 0.25
	4a	77% 1.38 0.87	77% 1.26 0.80	74% 1.20 0.71	70% 1.06 0.67	65% 0.87 0.64	62% 0.81 0.57	56% 0.73 0.50	52% 0.62 0.44	47% 0.55 0.38	44% 0.48 0.36	40% 0.39 0.31	38% 0.39 0.30
	4b	81% 1.46 0.88	78% 1.32 0.86	76% 1.17 0.80	74% 1.15 0.77	70% 1.05 0.67	66% 0.93 0.64	61% 0.84 0.58	56% 0.72 0.53	52% 0.67 0.45	47% 0.57 0.41	43% 0.49 0.35	40% 0.44 0.33
	4c	83% 1.79 0.93	80% 1.44 0.87	78% 1.41 0.86	74% 1.20 0.78	73% 1.16 0.76	69% 1.04 0.69	66% 0.93 0.65	59% 0.84 0.57	56% 0.79 0.53	51% 0.70 0.47	48% 0.62 0.44	42% 0.51 0.37
	4d	83% 1.57 1.00	81% 1.49 0.90	79% 1.40 0.86	77% 1.46 0.85	74% 1.24 0.81	72% 1.23 0.75	68% 1.06 0.70	64% 0.97 0.64	59% 0.89 0.58	56% 0.79 0.54	51% 0.69 0.47	47% 0.62 0.43
	5a	82% 1.47 0.99	84% 1.68 0.98	81% 1.54 0.96	78% 1.46 0.87	78% 1.40 0.86	74% 1.27 0.79	70% 1.15 0.76	68% 1.10 0.72	63% 1.00 0.65	59% 0.92 0.60	54% 0.80 0.55	51% 0.74 0.49
	5b	85% 1.70 1.15	84% 1.64 1.06	82% 1.67 0.98	79% 1.49 0.95	77% 1.45 0.89	76% 1.29 0.86	72% 1.26 0.82	69% 1.20 0.76	66% 1.11 0.72	62% 1.03 0.67	58% 0.91 0.60	55% 0.83 0.54
	5c	88% 1.77 1.10	86% 1.66 1.02	84% 1.75 1.06	81% 1.68 0.93	81% 1.62 0.94	76% 1.44 0.85	75% 1.32 0.86	71% 1.34 0.77	68% 1.18 0.77	65% 1.12 0.72	62% 1.01 0.68	58% 0.93 0.62
	5d	87% 1.64 1.24	86% 1.63 1.12	83% 1.72 1.10	83% 1.62 1.05	79% 1.47 0.95	79% 1.48 0.91	78% 1.46 0.90	73% 1.35 0.86	72% 1.29 0.81	69% 1.21 0.78	65% 1.17 0.72	62% 1.05 0.68